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    November 07

    一些近期数据与图表

    用欧元计价的标普指数,似乎有向下破位的趋势。

    IMF卖金给印度后的储备变化。印度用升值的卢比来锁定收益,但是人民币锁定了美元,所以中国不会继续购买黄金。

     

    欧元计价的黄金,虽然美元计价的黄金已经被吹上了1095历史高位,但是欧元计价的黄金没有创新高。原油也是一样,价格都是被弱势美元吹上去的。然后在这个时间点,主流媒体的观点都是清一色的美元崩溃论,黄金将冲击2000(罗杰斯)。股市与黄金的反转,预示着不久我们将面临美元的紧缺。不是吧,美国不是在大印钞票吗?这不是痴人说梦话。倒数第二个图的绿色线,M3从七月份开始下降了750billion,the "excess" supply of dollars is being sucked up at a rate of $150Bn a month since June.最后一个图,狭义货币与广义货币的趋势,狭义指中央银行的货币增加,广义包括商业银行等其他的货币趋势却在减少。

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    Simon Laiwrote:
    梁总改行做金融分析了?强!
    Nov. 11

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